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Suddenly the Dodgers unwavering offer doesn't look so bad, does it? Remove defense from the equation, and Hochevar's ERA slips to 3.69, without his park and schedule, just 3.97. His final junior stat line offers an ERA of 2.26, a number aided by context. Since then, thanks to Kent Bonham, we have learned that Hochevar may have been statistically overrated last year. The three million dollar bonus that Rich suggested proved to be the dividing line between the two sides, as Hochevar reneged after agreeing to a $2.98M contract. No, ladies and gentleman, Rich has not edited that last sentence in the last 365 days. His lack of polish suggests Hochevar is probably at least two years away from pitching at Dodger Stadium.Ĭonclusion: A potentially great draft pick if the Dodgers can sign him for a price not to exceed $3M.
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Luke might throw a couple of mph harder than Weaver and has a plus breaking ball, but he does not possess the same command and control as Jered. Unlike Jered Weaver last year, every team in baseball passed on Hochevar, which weakens his position considerably.įurthermore, even in the words of Boras, Hochevar is not as "major league ready" as was Weaver last year. It will be interesting to see if the Dodgers step up well beyond the norm for a supplemental pick or if Boras and Hochevar come down. Scott Boras and an asking price of $5 million scared away many teams. However, prior to that, he was considered one of the top two starters in the draft (along with Mike Pelfrey). He worked eight innings and gave up five runs on nine hits while recording nine strikeouts and four walks. Hochevar's outing on Friday didn't raise his stature in the draft. Kansas City Royals: Luke Hochevar, RHP (Fort Worth)Ī top prospect in last year's draft, it was a surprise when Luke Hochevar slipped on draft day to the 40th pick, belonging to the Dodgers. Let's call it $4 million, which is still below what Boras was seeking a year ago for his client.ġ. An amount in excess of $3 million but less than the $5 million that other #1 choices have demanded in the past is probably in the cards. Hochevar was selected by the Los Angeles Dodgers last year and agreed to a $2.98 million signing bonus before reneging on that deal. If so, it would be apparent that the team has reached a pre-draft agreement with agent Scott Boras. Jim Callis of Baseball America believes the Kansas City Royals will take former Tennessee ace Luke Hochevar with the first pick in the draft. Patrick Sullivan (Study of NYY CF/BOS LF)īob Klapisch (The Case for Bert Blyleven)
Mark Armour (Rise/Fall of Artificial Turf)ĭavid Appelman (Pitchers, Pitch by Pitch) Rybarczyk ('09 Hit Tracker Projections)Ĭraig Calcaterra (Frivolity, Part I, Part II)ĭan Levitt (Empirical Analysis of Bunting) Harry Pavlidis (Johan Santana's Fast Start)īaseball Analysis at Tufts (Groundballers)īaseball Analysis at Tufts (GB Out Rates) Stan Opdyke (Baseball Radio in NYC, 1953)īrent Mayne (The Intangibles of Catching)